Lognormal distribution
What it represents
The Lognormal distribution describes a positive variable whose logarithm is normal. It is the classic model for quantities formed by many multiplicative factors rather than additive effects.
Historical clue
Gibrat systematized the model in proportional-growth studies, and Aitchison and Brown gave it a comprehensive treatment.
Relationships that clarify its use
It is a limit of Generalized Gamma and appears as a limit of some multiplicative families. It resembles Gamma and Weibull centrally, but its tail is heavier than Weibull and lighter than comparable-index Pareto.
Data examples
- income, wealth, firm, and city sizes
- particle concentration, repair times, and positive biological variables
Modelling warning
Do not log-transform away zeros, censoring, or retransformation bias: returning from log scale to the original scale requires care.
Arithmetic changes when effects multiply
Adding small effects often leads to a Normal law; multiplying positive factors leads, through a parallel argument, to Lognormal. On a logarithmic scale, products become sums. The family consequently appears in particle sizes, concentrations, and quantities exposed to proportional growth.
The median is e^mu in the unshifted form, while the mean lies above it and also depends on dispersion. The geometric mean better estimates the multiplicative centre. A long right tail does not prove lognormality: Pareto and other heavy-tailed laws can look similar in moderate samples while extrapolating very differently. Comparing logarithms, high quantiles, and generating mechanisms prevents the histogram from deciding alone.
Decision guide
A good candidate when: positive values arise from multiplicative factors and their logarithms are approximately symmetric.
Compare it with: Gamma and Weibull. Inspect log-scale residuals and high quantiles; positivity and skewness alone do not establish a Lognormal model.
References
- SciPy reference: scipy.stats.lognorm — definition and parameterization
- Johnson, N. L., Kotz, S. & Balakrishnan, N. (1994). Continuous Univariate Distributions, 2nd ed., Vol. 1. Wiley.
- Aitchison, J. & Brown, J. A. C. (1957). The Lognormal Distribution. Cambridge University Press.
- Gibrat, R. (1931). Les inégalités économiques. Sirey.