Gamma 3P distribution
The idea in one sentence
The three-parameter Gamma adds a location threshold to Gamma. After loc, the variable keeps a positive, skewed shape that can be read as baseline time plus accumulated variability.
Support and interpretation
The support starts at loc. alpha sets shape and beta scale; the 3P suffix adds an origin rather than a new special function.
Its place in the family
With loc=0 it is two-parameter Gamma. Integer alpha links it to shifted Erlang; it can also compete with Weibull and lognormal for positive times.
An applied reading
A meaningful loc can represent time before the random mechanism begins. If it merely fixes skewness, compare two-parameter Gamma and Weibull before interpreting the boundary.
The sample minimum is not necessarily
loc; with finite data the threshold estimate can be highly sensitive to one observation.
Random accumulation beyond a baseline amount
Gamma 3P writes an observation as a fixed baseline plus a positive Gamma amount. In hydrology this might be base flow accompanied by random input; in reliability it might be a minimum time followed by accumulated damage.
This reading differs from a Gamma variable truncated by an instrument. A shift says the entire population begins at loc; truncation says values exist below a boundary but cannot be observed. Since Gamma already changes shape substantially through alpha, adding a threshold can create parameter tradeoffs. Stable fitting needs information near the endpoint and an external reason to believe in it. Otherwise an ordinary or Generalized Gamma may be more parsimonious.
Decision guide
A good candidate when: Gamma accumulation starts after a physical origin that is unknown but estimable.
Compare it with: Gamma with an origin fixed from domain knowledge. A free location often correlates with shape and can destabilize extrapolation near the threshold.
References
- SciPy reference: scipy.stats.gamma — definition and parameterization
- Johnson, N. L., Kotz, S. & Balakrishnan, N. (1994). Continuous Univariate Distributions, 2nd ed., Vol. 1. Wiley.
- Lawless, J. F. (2003). Statistical Models and Methods for Lifetime Data, 2nd ed. Wiley.